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Re: Bruce Jenner Stakes (597 Views)
Posted by: Boscar Obarra (IP Logged)
Date: November 07, 2015 12:33AM

Don't fall into the trap of selective analysis. They're pointing you at this one race, where it's 99.99% likely the wrong horse was led over. What kind of moron would think they could pass a gelding off as a filly , not only through the identifier, but the testing barn as well. All this for a 20k or 30k payday?

There are dozens of races every day around the country where the exotic payoffs are dramatically lower than the win odds would imply.

The tri was low most likely because of the #'s, 1-3-5.

And with extreme longshots you RARELY get fair value in the exacta , expecially with another bomb, in this case 20-1.

What do I know, only been watching the pools for 40 years.


PS, Nothing to do with this race, but someone called Byk and asked about the exacta at AQU where the 5/2 over 80-1 only paid 260 or so.

I didn't have the race up live, so I didn't see the betdown the caller talked about , supposedly 600 earlier. Don't have to.

Happens all the time. Every day. And 99% of the time they lose. Could be someone(s) that liked the favored winner, and didn't like the other shortish prices, and played hard on the rest. Could have been smart money. You never know.

Doesn't mean a thing in the long run, and if you played all these 'hammered' numbers you'd probably lose not only the takeout , but two or three times that.



Subject Written By Posted
Bruce Jenner Stakes (1117 Views) shanahan 11/05/2015 07:55PM
Re: Bruce Jenner Stakes (816 Views) jp702006 11/05/2015 08:18PM
Re: Bruce Jenner Stakes (769 Views) Boscar Obarra 11/05/2015 10:21PM
Re: Bruce Jenner Stakes (702 Views) jp702006 11/05/2015 10:50PM
Re: Bruce Jenner Stakes (703 Views) Boscar Obarra 11/05/2015 11:50PM
Re: Bruce Jenner Stakes (725 Views) jp702006 11/05/2015 11:58PM
Re: Bruce Jenner Stakes (478 Views) jp702006 11/23/2015 08:40PM
Re: Bruce Jenner Stakes (699 Views) richiebee 11/06/2015 10:32AM
Re: Bruce Jenner Stakes (729 Views) colt 11/06/2015 02:37PM
Re: Bruce Jenner Stakes (627 Views) Topcat 11/06/2015 03:30PM
Re: Bruce Jenner Stakes (630 Views) Boscar Obarra 11/06/2015 03:46PM
Re: Bruce Jenner Stakes (630 Views) moosepalm 11/06/2015 08:34PM
Re: Bruce Jenner Stakes (590 Views) jp702006 11/06/2015 09:02PM
Re: Bruce Jenner Stakes (585 Views) Mathcapper 11/06/2015 11:04PM
Re: Bruce Jenner Stakes (597 Views) Boscar Obarra 11/07/2015 12:33AM
Re: Bruce Jenner Stakes (575 Views) Mathcapper 11/07/2015 01:21AM
Re: Bruce Jenner Stakes (554 Views) moosepalm 11/07/2015 10:36AM
Re: Bruce Jenner Stakes (558 Views) Boscar Obarra 11/07/2015 12:49PM
Re: Bruce Jenner Stakes (526 Views) moosepalm 11/07/2015 07:08PM
Re: Bruce Jenner Stakes (561 Views) Boscar Obarra 11/07/2015 09:16PM
Re: Bruce Jenner Stakes (556 Views) gadspicks 11/08/2015 02:15AM
Re: Bruce Jenner Stakes (551 Views) metroj 11/07/2015 01:30AM


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