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 Race of the Week:  2023 Breeders' Cup Days Final Figures Santa Anita 3-4 November 2023  • 1 Specials Available
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Re: ROTW (1115 Views)
Posted by: belmont3 (IP Logged)
Date: October 21, 2016 11:34PM

Happy 58th Shannie!!

I'll chip in with the 9th at Kee: The Raven Run
Probably take a 3 or better to take down this Grade II 7f dash.

I am sure some of the Backyard will recall the Prioress at SAR and # Lucy N Ethel. Especially Sean who I hope is thriving in Conn!!
Assuming all 12 run and fast track:

1) Covey Trace -ran a CT top that would be borderline competitive if paired. Not a fan of the #1 post when leaving a chute and would play for some reaction.

2) Ma Can Do It- Dale Romans turn back from 4 routes. Might go forward but would need a trip.

3) Grace's Treasure-another slow looking one with a 5 to get back to. Working well.

4) Lucy N Ethel- A Backyard legend and a picnic table pick by TGJB that I watched at Pennells. Huge 2yo Parx/Preciado # had many guessing that day. So, she ran a 3 and moves to Amoss/Lanerie. Two Kee works...may be controlling speed. Has # power to be there but a bit confusing. Still: Contender

5) Southern Girl- Laurel shipper KY bred (so no Md Millions for you) -Two Kee works . In top form with a paired 4 line. Never gone back. At 12-1 with Florent, longshot contender

6) Bellamentary- D'Amato ships in and turns back in distance. Slow on figs. Really do not 'get' this one so I will pass on him.

7) Malifbu Stacy: 6 1/2 with lots of development. Seems too slow.

8) Curlins Approval- Wolfson shipper for GP. Lightly raced, decent spacing. Fast, fit and dangerous with a 2 1/4 in last. . Tyler G sees fit to travel north and at anywhere near 8-1 ML, A contender.

9) Coniah: appear stuck in the 5 to 7 range. Maybe KM can improve on the paired 7's but would need a monstrous jump to win.

10) Sophia's Song: Interesting Pletcher entry with a recent 1. A CT bounce to a 5 and blinkers off. Contender

11) Takrees- the 2nd KM entry. This one a Shadwell. Made a late Prioress run. Likely do the same here.

12) Lightstream- Lynch and Leparoux - has the fastest fig in the field but was it Real or was it Memorex- Has yet to approach that debut number. The secondary top makes him competitive but: Outside post, no real tactical speed, a 3-1 ML. Contender on # power.

Summary:
Am not anticipating a super pace meltdown.

Based on ML, Lightstream is a horse I will play against. Likely wide trip and inability to get back to his top = poor value. Think there are a number of reasonably priced contenders. Curlin's Approval, Southern Girl, Sophia's Song and Lucy N Ethel are where I am focused. At this time of the year, I tend to gravitate towards the more lightly raced, developing types. Curlin's Approval and Sophia fit that profile and that is where I am likely to go.

Best of luck to all



Subject Written By Posted
ROTW (1261 Views) TGJB 10/21/2016 06:14PM
Re: ROTW - KEE Race 8, Saturday Oct 22 (1151 Views) shanahan 10/21/2016 08:23PM
Re: ROTW - KEE Race 8, Saturday Oct 22 (1042 Views) FrankD. 10/22/2016 07:21AM
Re: ROTW - Bel 9th Ticonderoga (1030 Views) fasteddie 10/21/2016 11:04PM
Re: ROTW - Bel 9th Ticonderoga (1052 Views) richiebee 10/22/2016 01:28AM
Re: ROTW - Bel 9th Ticonderoga (822 Views) wrongway 10/22/2016 01:50PM
Re: ROTW (1115 Views) belmont3 10/21/2016 11:34PM
Re: ROTW (964 Views) Fairmount1 10/22/2016 12:06AM
Re: ROTW (946 Views) FrankD. 10/22/2016 07:16AM
Re: ROTW (968 Views) belmont3 10/22/2016 07:27AM
Re: ROTW (1088 Views) FrankD. 10/22/2016 07:50AM


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