Re: FL Derby - Outside the figures (1098 Views)
Posted by:
ajkreider (IP Logged)
Date: March 31, 2017 11:40AM
Not sure the race is betable (the whole card is a big disappointment compared to FOY day). But I don't think Gunny is fully cranked for this one. Last two works have been slow, which is probably good for his chances in May (given the monster fig), but not for this race.
Sano is the big question mark. The way he's handled Hy Riverside has been very strange. He may have ruined a talented horse by running him three straight weeks in February. Also have to question his judgment in going back to Jesus Rios for the Futurity last fall - after the switch to a top jock got Gunny a G2 win.
Always Dreaming probably looks better on TG than other figs. Beyer gave him a 71 in his last, which is ridiculous. But he isn't sneaking up on anyone as the second choice. Three Rules may hang on, but wouldn't be surprised to see a bounce out of him as well after that huge effort.
Maybe the play is a jump up from one of the lightly raced horses to the inside.