West Point Stables also bought into AD a few weeks ago so that certainly is going to depress his odds even more. Those that fancy him can have him because he's not for me--he feels like a Zulu 2.0.

It's hard to completely trust Gunnevera especially at 6/5 because he not only doesn't need these points to make the Derby field but also has a potential bounce and poor post to overcome. Bouncing to the point he's off the board would be very surprising to me at least because his prior two regressions were only by about 2 points each time(and that includes when he hit a 6 point new top at 2YO at SAR). He could bounce by 5-6 points and still be in the mix due to the number of duds in here.

It doesn't hurt either that Gunnevera is accustomed to carrying the 122lb of today's race while he's had to give weight to much of the field in his past several races.

While I don't love Gunnevera in the FL Derby, there's little else to chose from in the field and the horse is pretty darn serious every time Castellano is on his back. Probably going to try some tris and supers using 1,2,10 up and down with 11. The one could end up being a WPS bet for me at his ML because he just kind of hangs around enough to maybe pull a Shackleford.

Battalion Runner should have perhaps gone ahead and run here since the other TAP ain't winning and BR would have a real tough time not finishing 1st or 2nd.


Like Guest Suite and his improving figs quite a bit in the LA Derby. He too is used to today's weight with two wins under 122lb while Girvin and Hero got 4lbs from him last out.