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Re: Always Dreaming (1134 Views)
Posted by: Furious Pete (IP Logged)
Date: May 10, 2017 02:00PM

It looks very hard to establish an inside bias on the dirt both friday and saturday IMHO, just by going with the figures. Plenty of tops and pair ups from the wide paths both days. The best case for it being there could probably be made for the first three or four races on friday, but even that takes a bit of handicapping to get to. If so, one would have to have Elate running a huge new top (in effect), but that is completely plausible. If Street Bizz was running against a "golden rail", she too ran a race better than any of her previous - again it's plausible. And Dancing All Night ran a absolute huge race in her racing debut. My gut feeling is that this might've been the case and that the rail was very good in those first three or four races on friday, but then it seems pretty fair from there, IF relying on the figures (and shouldn't we?).

All else equal the rail is obviously the place to be, it shouldn't surprise anyone on this board to see many winners saving ground. I saw someone mention Benner Island as the prime example of a horse winning because of an inside speed bias, but what do you say about Laney then?

That said, when you say that you haven't really looked TGJB, does this mean that if the evidence is not VERY heavy for or against a bias (i.e a dead rail or something like that) - you will weigh each horse in a race equally to get a race to fit? Would you care to elaborate a bit about your thinking around these issues? It sure isn't a problem that have an "easy fix"!



Subject Written By Posted
Always Dreaming (2389 Views) FrankD. 05/06/2017 09:58PM
Re: Always Dreaming (1790 Views) TGJB 05/06/2017 11:09PM
Re: Always Dreaming (1407 Views) jp702006 05/06/2017 11:27PM
Re: Always Dreaming (1681 Views) jimbo66 05/07/2017 08:16AM
Re: Always Dreaming (1379 Views) jbelfior 05/07/2017 08:41AM
Re: Always Dreaming (1370 Views) TreadHead 05/07/2017 08:58AM
Re: Always Dreaming (1259 Views) Leamas57 05/07/2017 09:22AM
Re: Always Dreaming (1103 Views) albatross 05/07/2017 09:41AM
Re: Always Dreaming (1336 Views) jimbo66 05/07/2017 10:04AM
Re: Always Dreaming (1145 Views) jerry 05/07/2017 10:05AM
Re: Always Dreaming (1167 Views) ajkreider 05/07/2017 10:52AM
Re: Always Dreaming (1458 Views) bellsbendboy 05/07/2017 01:08PM
Re: Always Dreaming (1418 Views) TGJB 05/07/2017 02:58PM
Re: Always Dreaming (1089 Views) bellsbendboy 05/08/2017 10:28PM
Re: Always Dreaming (1096 Views) hellersorr 05/09/2017 12:29AM
Re: Always Dreaming (1166 Views) TGJB 05/09/2017 12:47AM
Re: Always Dreaming (1012 Views) FrankD. 05/09/2017 06:15AM
Re: Always Dreaming (1112 Views) richiebee 05/09/2017 08:38AM
Re: Always Dreaming (1034 Views) Furious Pete 05/09/2017 11:40AM
Re: Always Dreaming (1137 Views) FrankD. 05/09/2017 07:47PM
Re: Always Dreaming (1145 Views) big18741 05/07/2017 09:29AM
Re: Always Dreaming (1531 Views) FrankD. 05/07/2017 09:08AM
Re: Always Dreaming (1102 Views) belmont3 05/07/2017 10:23AM
Re: Always Dreaming (1163 Views) FrankD. 05/07/2017 11:18AM
Re: Always Dreaming (1314 Views) belmont3 05/07/2017 11:54AM
Re: Always Dreaming (1209 Views) Fairmount1 05/07/2017 02:35PM
Re: Always Dreaming (977 Views) boardedup 05/09/2017 02:48PM
Re: Always Dreaming (969 Views) Airnate012 05/09/2017 03:06PM
Re: Always Dreaming (987 Views) boardedup 05/09/2017 03:19PM
Re: Always Dreaming (1015 Views) Niall 05/09/2017 03:28PM
Re: Always Dreaming (1022 Views) Michael D. 05/09/2017 03:40PM
Re: Always Dreaming (1212 Views) Tavasco 05/09/2017 04:41PM
Re: Always Dreaming (1048 Views) TGJB 05/09/2017 05:57PM
Re: Always Dreaming (1044 Views) Tavasco 05/09/2017 07:00PM
Re: Always Dreaming (949 Views) TempletonPeck 05/09/2017 06:54PM
Re: Always Dreaming (1053 Views) boardedup 05/09/2017 10:07PM
Re: Always Dreaming (1094 Views) moosepalm 05/09/2017 10:46PM
Re: Always Dreaming (1018 Views) boardedup 05/10/2017 10:13AM
Re: Always Dreaming (1029 Views) Rich Curtis 05/10/2017 11:57AM
Re: Always Dreaming (1029 Views) TGJB 05/10/2017 12:48PM
Re: Always Dreaming (1134 Views) Furious Pete 05/10/2017 02:00PM
Re: Always Dreaming (1101 Views) TGJB 05/10/2017 02:08PM
Re: Always Dreaming (1064 Views) Furious Pete 05/10/2017 02:21PM
Re: Always Dreaming (999 Views) TGJB 05/10/2017 02:30PM
Re: Always Dreaming (1162 Views) Furious Pete 05/10/2017 02:32PM
Bias update Derby Weekend (1043 Views) Furious Pete 06/15/2017 04:38PM
Re: Always Dreaming (1043 Views) trwhis2 05/09/2017 11:16PM
Re: Always Dreaming (902 Views) hellersorr 05/10/2017 04:09PM
Re: Always Dreaming (1197 Views) jerry 05/07/2017 09:54AM
Re: Always Dreaming (1187 Views) T Severini 05/07/2017 06:49PM
Re: Always Dreaming (1275 Views) Furious Pete 05/07/2017 11:04AM
Re: Sheets Players (1259 Views) BitPlayer 05/07/2017 01:02PM
Bodemeister (1312 Views) T Severini 05/07/2017 05:47PM
Re: Bodemeister (1412 Views) TGJB 05/07/2017 05:49PM
Re: Bodemeister (1282 Views) T Severini 05/07/2017 05:54PM
Re: Bodemeister (1230 Views) Topcat 05/08/2017 08:07AM
Re: Bodemeister (1096 Views) T Severini 05/08/2017 05:41PM
Re: Bodemeister (1063 Views) Topcat 05/09/2017 09:23AM
Re: Always Dreaming (1210 Views) T Severini 05/09/2017 07:29AM
Re: Always Dreaming (1031 Views) T Severini 05/08/2017 11:46PM


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