Fair point Silver.

"Nobody should be surprised" was a bit over the top. (I really dislike Pletcher and at times hard to be objective).

I posted this before the race along with who I liked (CE / CC / CMM), so this isn't redboarding, but I wasn't surprised because Pletcher is a bit of a "one trick pony". He is REALLY good at that one trick, early developers/layoff horses, etc.etc. But he hasn't shown he can or even will try to adapt to running back on short rest. He has had 50 derby starters and 4 preakness? Baffert does what Pletcher does + more.

When you factor in that most reasonable people/handicappers knew the Derby was run on a biased track (as Andy Beyer pointed out) and that AD was with that bias, the Pletcher + bias factor made him a vulnerable favorite.). Of course, he "could have been" a freak as many on this board thought both before and after the Derby. But there seemed to be a reasonable chance that he would run awful. I think TGJB called him the "most likely winner", but also suggested a tri box tossing him all the way out. It seems contradictory, but not really, as it reflects the fact that there were multiple reasons to think he would run poorly.

The pick-4 was nice, but this handicapper got stubborn about not including the 8 in the 3rd slot of supers and cost me a nice 5 figure score. So be it. Tough game. No room for any mistakes.

Jim