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Re: Lots Of Stuff (450 Views)
Posted by: TGJB (IP Logged)
Date: August 24, 2004 06:56PM

I guess you didn't notice the qotation marks around the word "better".

1-- I don't believe it. I also don't disbelieve it. If it is true at all, I certainly don't think the difference in track speeds is extreme, or I would see it in the figures when I work with them-- as I do with dead rails.

2-- Horses don't stay in one path throughout a race. This alone makes adjusting the figures for paths a very dicey proposition.

3-- There is no more reason to believe that the relationship between paths stays constant throughout the day than that the track as a whole stays the same speed throughout the day. So even if horses were staying in the same path, you would often have to look at a sampling of one or two horses that ran in a specific path in a given race. Not enough.

4-- SO-- we only note it when it is really clear, which happens when there is a dead rail. And even then, we have found that you can't apply a set correction, since what seems to happen is that a lot of horses just don't fire. So we mark them, and let you figure out what to do with them.



TGJB



Subject Written By Posted
Lots Of Stuff (798 Views) TGJB 08/24/2004 02:49PM
Re: Lots Of Stuff (572 Views) JimP 08/24/2004 03:46PM
Re: Lots Of Stuff (507 Views) miff 08/24/2004 06:36PM
Re: Lots Of Stuff (450 Views) TGJB 08/24/2004 06:56PM
Re: Lots Of Stuff (498 Views) Boscar Obarra 08/24/2004 11:24PM
Re: Lots Of Stuff (442 Views) 08/25/2004 10:46AM
Re: Lots Of Stuff (481 Views) miff 08/25/2004 10:54AM
Re: Lots Of Stuff (436 Views) JJP 08/25/2004 11:09AM
Re: Lots Of Stuff (415 Views) 08/25/2004 12:02PM
Re: Lots Of Stuff (496 Views) miff 08/25/2004 12:12PM
Re: Arlington Million (484 Views) TGJB 08/24/2004 07:07PM
Re: Arlington Million (491 Views) JimP 08/25/2004 01:19PM
Re: Lots Of Stuff (450 Views) Lucy 08/25/2004 02:43AM


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