Your Ask The Experts ID
is separate from your
Order Online Account ID
 Race of the Week:  The Modesty Stakes Churchill May 3, 2024  • 2 Specials Available
Order Online
Buy TG Data
Complete Menu of
TG Data products
Simulcast Books
Customize a Value
Package of Select
TG Data
Sheet Requests
Order The Last Figure for Any Horse
Free Products
Redboard Room
Download and Review previous days' data.
Race of the Week
With detailed comments
ThoroTrack
Email notification when your horse races
Information
Introduction
For newcomers.
Samples and Tutorials
For Horsemen
Consulting services and Graph Racing
Sales Sites
Where to buy TG around the country
Archives
Historical races and handicapping articles
Handicapping
Hall of Fame
Major handicapping contest winners
Home Page
Re: Lots Of Stuff (441 Views)
Posted by: (IP Logged)
Date: August 25, 2004 10:46AM

As someone that does try to incorporate bias into his analysis, IMO JB's summary couldn't possibly be more correct. IMO, it would be a huge mistake to try to incorporate bias into his figures for all the reasons he stated.

He does note the extremely dead rails. On those days you can look at the notes as to how wide the horse was. Then you can decide if you think a figure is a little suspect in terms of measuring the horse's actual performace.

However, all this stuff gets into very subjective evaluations of the horses' abilities going into a race vs. how they ran in the race and why. 10 fairly competent guys are going to have 20 different opinions.

So things like bias are going to have to remain a subjective area of the game. They can't be incorporated into a figure to the same degree of accuracy as time, ground lost and weight.



Subject Written By Posted
Lots Of Stuff (798 Views) TGJB 08/24/2004 02:49PM
Re: Lots Of Stuff (571 Views) JimP 08/24/2004 03:46PM
Re: Lots Of Stuff (506 Views) miff 08/24/2004 06:36PM
Re: Lots Of Stuff (450 Views) TGJB 08/24/2004 06:56PM
Re: Lots Of Stuff (497 Views) Boscar Obarra 08/24/2004 11:24PM
Re: Lots Of Stuff (441 Views) 08/25/2004 10:46AM
Re: Lots Of Stuff (481 Views) miff 08/25/2004 10:54AM
Re: Lots Of Stuff (435 Views) JJP 08/25/2004 11:09AM
Re: Lots Of Stuff (415 Views) 08/25/2004 12:02PM
Re: Lots Of Stuff (495 Views) miff 08/25/2004 12:12PM
Re: Arlington Million (483 Views) TGJB 08/24/2004 07:07PM
Re: Arlington Million (490 Views) JimP 08/25/2004 01:19PM
Re: Lots Of Stuff (449 Views) Lucy 08/25/2004 02:43AM


Sorry, only registered users may post in this forum.
This forum powered by Phorum.

Thoro-Graph 180 Varick Street New York, NY 10014 ---- Click here for the Ask The Experts Archives.