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Re: Lots Of Stuff (444 Views)
Posted by: (IP Logged)
Date: August 25, 2004 10:46AM

As someone that does try to incorporate bias into his analysis, IMO JB's summary couldn't possibly be more correct. IMO, it would be a huge mistake to try to incorporate bias into his figures for all the reasons he stated.

He does note the extremely dead rails. On those days you can look at the notes as to how wide the horse was. Then you can decide if you think a figure is a little suspect in terms of measuring the horse's actual performace.

However, all this stuff gets into very subjective evaluations of the horses' abilities going into a race vs. how they ran in the race and why. 10 fairly competent guys are going to have 20 different opinions.

So things like bias are going to have to remain a subjective area of the game. They can't be incorporated into a figure to the same degree of accuracy as time, ground lost and weight.



Subject Written By Posted
Lots Of Stuff (803 Views) TGJB 08/24/2004 02:49PM
Re: Lots Of Stuff (574 Views) JimP 08/24/2004 03:46PM
Re: Lots Of Stuff (510 Views) miff 08/24/2004 06:36PM
Re: Lots Of Stuff (453 Views) TGJB 08/24/2004 06:56PM
Re: Lots Of Stuff (501 Views) Boscar Obarra 08/24/2004 11:24PM
Re: Lots Of Stuff (444 Views) 08/25/2004 10:46AM
Re: Lots Of Stuff (485 Views) miff 08/25/2004 10:54AM
Re: Lots Of Stuff (439 Views) JJP 08/25/2004 11:09AM
Re: Lots Of Stuff (418 Views) 08/25/2004 12:02PM
Re: Lots Of Stuff (499 Views) miff 08/25/2004 12:12PM
Re: Arlington Million (487 Views) TGJB 08/24/2004 07:07PM
Re: Arlington Million (494 Views) JimP 08/25/2004 01:19PM
Re: Lots Of Stuff (452 Views) Lucy 08/25/2004 02:43AM


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