Re: Travers - Postscript (638 Views)
Posted by:
cozzene (IP Logged)
Date: August 29, 2004 08:49AM
Gentlemen
My first experience at the racetrack was in 1973.
Between 1973 and 1997 I read every book I could about betting on Thorobreds.
Unfortunately, I was also in the red every year. Sometimes I made a big score, but usually I lost. If Cozzene or one of his children were running I had a good day. Tikkanen on BC day was one of my best hits of all time.
However every thing changed in 1998 I discovered speed figures. I have not had a losing year since.
Pace as a indicator of energy expelled can't be. It is impossible to quantify.
Angles which angle? It is easy after the race. Very hard when you are forced to choose between angles before post.
Class; quantify it mathimatically.
Final time, ground loss, and weight are all objective. They can all be quantified mathimatically.
The advantage of accurate speed figures is that over time the faster horses will finish ahead of the slower horses. Betting the faster horses will over time show a profit.
Questions arise about betting strategies; about a year ago I asked some questions that I already knew the answers to; I wanted to see what the response was, suffice to say some people who post here really get it, they play tri's and super's where speed figures are most valuble and traditional methods most useless and leave the win position to the traditionalists.
If this helps great, if not thats OK.
Your Friend
Cozzene
Post Edited (08-29-04 08:50)