Re: Lucy Et .Al. (542 Views)
Posted by:
jimbo66 (IP Logged)
Date: September 04, 2004 01:08AM
JB,
Not a race I would have picked because I am never right about Dickinson, but I will take a shot.
There looks to be reasonable pace in the race to me. Snookie's Boy might leave, with Love of Money and Wimpelstilskin almost definitely shooting for the lead.
I don't like the Haskell. As previously stated by me many times here, I thought Lionheart ran mediocre to win it, despite the good number he got. So I am discounting the performances of Snookie's Boy and Pies Prospect slightly.
I don't like deep closers at Philly Park but since I expect a few frontrunners, I am looking for a stalker. Pollard's Vision fits that bill. He runs poorly when stuck down on the inside because of the inability to see out of the right eye. But with three speeds, I expect Johnny V to get him in position just off the leaders, maybe 3 lengths back. He makes his move on the turn and has enough left to hold off any closers.
Don't like Song of the Sword, Swing for the fences or Royal Assault.
Out of the two Haskell horses, I prefer Pies Prospect as he has proven he can run in other places besides Monmouth Park. Will also use the two "trainers" to fill out the exacta/trifecta places, since either can get a horse to fire fresh and I don't like anybody in the race.
I have no idea what morning line odds are, but you list Pollard's Vision at 8-1 in your analysis, which must be a misprint. I would be happy with 7-2 and play him over Pies Prospect, Master David and Tapit.