The only thing I know about Philly is that its takeout rates are very high(26% for pk3s, 30% for tris & supers), so the 1st non-TG handicapping step I took was to see what I could find out about the basic charateristics of the track(size,length of stretch,distance to 1st turn,etc), as well as develop a mini-profile of preferred running style & post positions at 9f. I did the same for Monmouth,& then compared the 2 to determine which horses might be expected to run better or worse on Monday.

When the info is available, I will consider 4 or 5 of the most likely pace scenarios, using a Brohamer model,to determine whether & to what extent they increase the liklihood of one or more horses putting in a top effort, & to decide if this is the kind of race which is likely to produce a longshot.

Finally, I will also consider, to a lesser degree, workouts & workout patterns in the context of each individual horse's overall pattern & development & what I know about the trainer's m.o.

If Monday is anything like today,however, the result of all this work might get diluted in a variety of pk4 & pk3 bets which come up a hair short in the last leg. You knew what you were talking about when you described these bets as the kind that can drive one to drink, a course of action I plan to pursue just as soon as I get up from the keyboard.