Shoo-Fly (487 Views)
Posted by:
Mall (IP Logged)
Date: September 05, 2004 01:27PM
Shut your pie hole along with your eyes, as I have no intention of making mincemeat of your culinary inspired selection, which has good TG & workout patterns, esp for Zito, & who looks very live at anything close to the ML although, all things considered, Snookie seems a little bit better win bet at 6-1. My pace analysis is different than the ROTW, as there seems to be more than enough early pace in a field in which very few have shown much ability to finish. If you are willing to toss his last race while he was still with a low % trnr, & can somehow put him on the 6/19 race, & are willing to assume the extra distance won't change things, Wimplestiltskin, who has never actually finished 1st, has the best late kick in the race. In addition to better nos, Separato has demonstrated a dramatically better closing kick since the switch to Ritchey, & as much as I hate the connections, the better distance, exceptionally strong works, & win at 1st asking are enough to at least raise the possibility that SOTS can run some kind of race off the layoff. I agree with the view that playing Tapit to run out is what makes the race bettable, & if the odds cooperate my plays, despite the confiscatory takeout, will be structured around one or more of these three shots hitting the board at very long odds.