Your Ask The Experts ID
is separate from your
Order Online Account ID
 Race of the Week:  La Canada Stakes Santa Anita, Race 8, January 11, 2020 
Order Online
Buy TG Data
Complete Menu of
TG Data products
Simulcast Books
Customize a Value
Package of Select
TG Data
Sheet Requests
Order The Last Figure for Any Horse
Free Products
Redboard Room
Download and Review previous days' data.
Race of the Week
With detailed comments
ThoroTrack
Email notification when your horse races
Information
Introduction
For newcomers.
Samples and Tutorials
For Horsemen
Consulting services and Graph Racing
Sales Sites
Where to buy TG around the country
Archives
Historical races and handicapping articles
Handicapping
Hall of Fame
Major handicapping contest winners
Home Page
Re: My ROTW - Tampa Race 7 (253 Views)
Posted by: TGAB (IP Logged)
Date: February 08, 2020 02:30PM

I won't talk anyone off a 12-1 shot with just 2 races under their belt. That said Padilla's Msw stats are stronger 1st out and I think the horse ran to that. Five point bounce five weeks later is suspect, but young horses can snap back quickly and with three more weeks recovery time, this guy could to.

I like the other horses you mention and am always leery of Pletcher w/1st timers especially on big race days. His 1st out stats speak to his prowess in this spot and auction prices as you note imply that despite the relatively low 1st out stats the horses had a positive physical appeal.

Good luck.

TGAB



Subject Written By Posted
My ROTW - Tampa Race 7 (301 Views) shanahan 02/08/2020 10:13AM
Re: My ROTW - Tampa Race 7 (253 Views) TGAB 02/08/2020 02:30PM


Sorry, only registered users may post in this forum.
This forum powered by Phorum.

Thoro-Graph 180 Varick Street New York, NY 10014 ---- Click here for the Ask The Experts Archives.