Re: Why are you gloating ??? (449 Views)
Posted by:
jimbo66 (IP Logged)
Date: September 05, 2004 11:17AM
Silver Charm,
You are another guy on this board who has yet to post an opinion. I said the race was hard, but I gave my "odds line" very specifically, which you left out.
35% Strong Hope
30% Midas Eyes
I said, I "might" bet Midas Eyes at 5-2, which is what I thought he would go off at. There would be marginal value in taking 5-2 on a horse I thought had a 30% chance to win. However, in case you are mathematically challenged, if I think a horse has a 30% chance of winning, then 7-2 is a very,very good price.
Interesting that I saw NOTHING from you last week after the Travers. Wasn't there something in that post you could find that was incorrect?
I don't know how you bet and don't really care, but handicapping to me is two parts. I handicap the race beforehand and come up with my opinions. But then I have to see the odds offered and figured out if my opinion has any "value" in the betting odds. At 7-2 in the win pool, Midas Eyes was good value. He was singled on 2/3 of my pick 4 tickets and was one of two with A Hueveo on the other third. 1 with 1/2/3/6 with 1/6/8/9 with 1/4/6/8/9. It paid OK.
Are you on any chain on this board with an opinion or do you just parrot what Jerry says?