Chris,

Good points. I didn't mean to imply in my post that I set expected odds and percentages and then just play overlays. I don't do that. I handicap the race, then decide the horses I like and "MY" expected result, taking into consideration many angles, beyers, pace scenario, trainer/jockey stats, distance and T-Graph numbers. But I only BET the race IF I am getting reasonable value on my opinion. Otherwise, I skip the race. I don't switch to another opinion, just because of the price. I am not saying this is the way everybody should bet, but it is the way I bet.

In the Forego, the two horses that interested me were Midas Eyes and A Huevo. Of course i considered Strong Hope a contender and also Clock Stopper, because they are fast horses. As post got closer I lost some interest in A Huevo, because as a rule I rarely seem to guess right with the "miracle" trainers. If Midas Eyes was 2-1, I would have skipped the race, not bet Clock Stopper or somebody else. At 7-2, with my interest in A Huevo waning and my opinion against Clock Stopper and everybody else in the race besides Midas Eyes, it became an attractive win bet and single on most of my pick 4 tickets.

I agree with Jerry though in that my original post here was NOT strongly worded. Sometimes opinions evolve during the race day and bets/views can change a bit.

Good luck