Re: Comments from a Ragozin User (447 Views)
Date: September 17, 2004 03:27PM
>making the ASSUMPTION the track stays the same is dead wrong,<
Can you clarify this a bit please?
Absent evidence of the types of changing conditions that could/would impact track speed (moisture, track maintenance, sun, wind, etc...) do you start with the assumption that the track speed "probably" wouldn't change?
or
Do you immediately assume your analysis of the race results is correct and apply a different variant despite the lack of evidence for a track speed change?
I realize, that each set of circumstances is different and there are no hard rules. I'm just trying to get at your general thinking.
Second, do you agree that it make sense to give greater weight to races with older more consistent and experienced horses when trying to determine the track speed because of the often surprise and excessive improvement from lightly raced and younger horses?