Re: Filly and Mare Sprint (338 Views)
Posted by:
Molesap (IP Logged)
Date: November 01, 2024 11:37AM
One quick clarification in case you are using this information to construct a bet (and to be honest maybe it does not matter much given their relative success):
Big Evs, winner of the Juvenile Turf Sprint last year, was trained by Michael Appleby, who has Big Mojo in the Juvenile Turf Sprint today and then Big Evs tries again tomorrow in the Turf Sprint. That win was his first and only Breeders’ Cup starter. So, he is 1/1 in his career.
Master of the Seas won the Mile in 2023 and was trained by Charlie Appleby, who is no relation to Michael. He has won 10 Breeders’ Cup races in his career from just 20 starters. He has Al Qudra and Aomori City in the Juvenile Turf today. I find it very interesting that William Buick, who has first call on all Charlie Appleby horses, is on Aomori City and not Al Qudra - I am tossing all three of the horses from the Summer at WO including the one with a pretty strong number as I do not think the European form of the top two was as good as that of a number of other Europeans – they all jumped up 2 points or more in that race and I suspect they may not be able to repeat those efforts today, but I do expect at least one or two of the Europeans to have similar jump ups first time in the US. He also has a number of others including one on the undercard in Cavallo Bay in race 4, who I think will benefit from the east to west turf shift so I will be using in the early P5. He has at least one entry in each grassy Breeders’ Cup race on Saturday including Star of Mystery (Turf Sprint), Rebel’s Romance (Turf), Beautiful Love and Cinderella’s Dream (F+M Turf), and finally Notable Speech (Mile). Note that the team of William Buick and Charlie Appleby have won the Breeders’ Cup Mile for three years running.
So collectively, any trainer named Appleby is 11 for 21, so maybe it does not matter. What would the line be for how many horses trained by any Appleby win this weekend? I would be tempted to bet the over at 1.5.