Re: Analysis of the Analysis (568 Views)
Posted by:
jimbo66 (IP Logged)
Date: November 01, 2004 05:43PM
NC Tony,
I don't know how old you are, or how long you have been betting. But "Dancing Brave was 1-2 for a reason too". And he ran out of the money as a much more "legendary" horse than Ouija Board.
I agree with you on the Euros figures. I can't prove it, but I don't think Jerry's Euro figures are correct. All the Euro invaders this summer that I saw outran their T-Graph figures.
However, if you thought Ouija Board was likely to be in the back of the pack early (which I did) and you thought the pace would be slow (which I did), and you thought she might not run her best off the big race in the Arc (which I did), then you could bet against her at 4-5.
The pace was slow and I bet she didn't run her best (haven't seen any figs yet). However, she got a great ride from Kieran Fallon. The horse was at the back of the back in all but one of her races and somehow got the garden spot behind the speed in a 52.3 half. I give credit to Kieran Fallon and blame Edgar Prado on Wonder Again (to a degree).
But at 4-5, she was tough for some of us to take.