Re: B.C. Numbers (387 Views)
Date: November 08, 2004 11:21AM
>But in general it's not that simple, since you have to move the figures you assign for each race as a solid grid<
I understand what you are saying and doing.
I am talking about the "very marginal decisions" in interpreting results that can be influenced by subjective views on trips etc...
It doesn't matter much to me one way or the other because I don't have to bet on Secretariat vs. Ghostzapper. :-) The process of slowly shrinking/expanding/flat figures happens so slowly it doesn't matter much to me as a bettor.
I'm just trying to explain it.
Beyer's figures have been very flat over the years - probably because they are anchored to or doublechecked against pars fairly often (which can be a problem as you have described).
Rags figures appear to be getting slowly faster.
Yours are also getting faster, but faster than Rags.