I wish more time was spent on the topic of trainers. Even after all the years I have been handicapping, some of which was spent studying trainers, I rarely if ever use any of my trainer insights in my betting. (I usually only bet high level races these days)

The only real exceptions are:

1. When there is a trainer change - especially to or away from one with a history of moving horses up.

2. There is evidence a particular trainer has all his stock ready (or not ready) for a particular meet. Usually, this means off layoffs in the spring when the top horses return etc...

I have found that many so called trainer patterns come and go over time as the trainer's stock changes. I suspect that much of it is actually random. As I accumulate evidence it is not, it gets built into the horse's price so I can't make any money.

I'm sure there are other patterns related to class changes in the claiming ranks, first and second time starter etc... but I have never made any money that way except for Frank Wright second time starters a very long ago. (a few very major scores)

I'd appreciate any uses/insights that are clearly profitable.



Post Edited (11-30-04 22:10)