I've found the new run based data very interesting and for me thus far the most profitable when using them when enough # 's to form a comfortable opinion on a horse's pattern are not available due to the number of races run or other many factors like lay off angle's , route to sprint , 1st turf etc .

I don't want to use the run based pattern stat's to limit or set paramiters for viewing or accessing a horse's pattern - and not to try too guess exactly what number will be run but rather how good , will the horse run - how well ? The ever pertinent and relevent question for the age's ...

Presently I'm using the new stats more in formulating wagering stratigies to use lets say a borderline horse on patterns or numbers over ( if a short price ) or in a box ( if a big price ) becouse the run based data trainer stats for the horse look excellent - similar to using or not using a runner based on projected ground loss or ground saved when trip handicapping a given race .

Someday and it's probably not to far off , I'd like to see run based pattern stats that use a sampling of "all" horse's and also for sire + dam run based pattern stats to be included in profile data - though it might not have the utillity as a professional handicapping tool that the new data offers at present .



Post Edited (12-02-04 02:20)

marcus