Suspicious Differences (732 Views)
Posted by:
SoCalMan2 (IP Logged)
Date: December 05, 2004 09:40AM
My apologies if the following has already been discussed. I was just futzing about checking out the Breeders Cup numbers on the Ragozin Board as compared to the same numbers on the Thorograph Board, and I discovered some alarming differences. Maybe I just don't get it, but can somebody explain to me the following discrepancies --
1) According to TG, Pts Grey Eagle and Clock Stopper ran the same figure, yet, according to Ragozin, Clock Stopper ran 1 3/4 of a point faster. In relative terms, shouldn't the relationship between how the horse's did be fixed?
2) According to TG, Midas Eyes ran 1/4 of a point slower than My Cousin Matt, yet, according to Ragozin, the difference between the two horses was 1.5. Again, shouldn't the differences between horses in a race be fixed no matter what system you are using?
3) According to TG, Champali ran 1.5 points better than Clock Stopper, but Ragozin has them at the same speed.
These are just a few examples. Now, I understand that the scales used by Thorograph and Ragozin differ, but can the difference in the scales be so great that it makes this much of a difference? With horses at this caliber, I pay VERY close attention to small differences and these types of differences would completely alter my read of a horse's sheet. I realize this may all seem picayune to some, but small differences can really affect pattern reads if you use a Len Friedman-type approach.