TGJB,

One point of clarification only so you understand why I believe the PARS are significant to my point.

When I am referring to the PARS, I am not talking about the PARs for claimers, allowance horses, etc... that could change from year to year or be related to a figure maker's lack of skill.

I am talking about the "NATIONAL" PARs for stakes horses.

I am talking about the average Beyer figure it takes to win a Grade 1 race for older colts, a Grade 2 race for older colts, stakes for fillies (each stakes class), stakes for 3 YOs at different times of the year (each stakes class), stakes for 2YOs at different times of the year, Breeder's Cup and Derby caliber races etc...

At the higher graded levels, horses are shipping from circuit to circuit for the big bucks, so these PARs tend to be reasonably stable on a national level (especially among mature older horse).

From time to time there are regional differences or crop differences, but the average is reasonably stable.

So when I say that all CA stakes races are running below average, that is a clear cut proclamation that al these CA horses are earning slower than average Beyer figures relative to the class, relative to what is typical for CA horses of this class, and what is typical for the national average.

I think many of these horses are below average. So it's no big deal. But some of them are not. If I were to universally lower all the CA Beyer's by let's say 5-6 Beyer points, they would "ALL" become such mules on his scale relative to average it would be silly.