HP:

We've all been where the husband was: "paralysis due to overanalysis" of the numerous sources of available information. Those husband/ wife at the races stories never work out well for the husband, do they?

Thank god my wife has no interest...

The "extraneous stuff" is a bit of a vast wasteland. I prefer to be more swayed by the "subjective stuff".. opinions and beliefs I have formed over the years.

Last Wednesday at AQ, I bet a winner based on the following subjective belief: The animal had been claimed by a trainer who IMO was both competent and underrated, taken from a trainer who IMO is one of the worst on the circuit. I would have bet this animal solely on the trainer change even if you told me the TGs or Beyers afforded him only a slight chance to win.

The nice thing about all this is that neither trainers' winning percentage was exemplary, and that anyone in the grandstand that day could have said there was no real difference between the two-- that they were both mediocre trainers at best. But in MY mind, based on MY observation over the years-the two trainers were worlds apart in terms of talent.

I would say that my subjective beliefs, as gratifying and profitable as they sometimes are, lead me astray at least 80% of the time. Anyone know a shylock with a bad heart?



Post Edited (03-28-05 14:06)