Re: A dogmatic dilemma (403 Views)
Posted by:
jimbo66 (IP Logged)
Date: April 11, 2005 12:33PM
CH,
What do you consider a "lukewarm favorite". I don't know what will happen this weekend obviously, but I would set the "over-under" on Bellamy Road's closing odds on Derby day at 5-2, which in a 15-18 horse field is a pretty strong favorite. I don't think this board represents the betting public at all. Very few people on this board bet favorites and people here are always looking for reasons to dislike the solid horses. Bellamy Road ran huge on Saturday, forget about the pace, the competition, the track condition and whatever else anybody wants to be skeptical about. No matter what you do to "discount" his figure slightly because of those factors, he still ran huge. He will be a deserving favorite on Derby day. And he will be tough to beat.