Re: A dogmatic dilemma (361 Views)
Posted by:
jimbo66 (IP Logged)
Date: April 11, 2005 12:55PM
CH,
I would bet against him duplicating the -4 also. But look at my other post, the next fastest figure is a "0", barring this weekend.
He could bounce 4 points and win.
On this board in the past, there was a posting about how few horses win the Derby with a "top". Let's say the winner of the Blue Grass runs a "0", which is supposition, but also reasonable. That would mean going into the Derby, betting against Bellamy Road you would be asking him to bounce 4 points PLUS, have somebody run a new top.
I need solid odds to bet that.
Believe me, I have favorites. I bet a favorite about once every 30 races and usually only in exotics, but Bellamy Road looks solid right now. (obviously I am not going out on a limb with that statement) I just wish there would be as many skeptics the first Saturday in May as there are on this board. 7-2 on this horse would be a nice wager, a wager that I for one, would be willing to go "all in" on..........