SoCalMan,

I don't want to start the two prep debate again, but I have to tell you, nobody on this board proved that two preps is the right way to go. I looked at all the sheets JB posted and reviewed them carefully and I was less impressed than Chris and others were with the results of the two prep horses. I still don't see how they got the 39% paired or tops. Anyway, the figures are posted and we can all analyze them. One fact that is incontrovertible is that only one horse has won the Derby off of less than three preps in 50/60 years.

I think JB's point about analyzing the reasons why many of these horses had only 2 preps is very key and frankly I had not thought of it. That point being that many had reduced schedules unintentionally, due to injuries, physical ailments etc.etc. And I think we can all agree that thinks need to go pretty perfectly physically and training wise to win the Derby.

But the "two preps is the right way to go" is the wrong conclusion to make, based on the evidence.

Sounds like you are a lawyer, so let me try this analogy. If there was a trial being held on whether two preps is the right way to go, your best case would be a hung jury.