Re: WILKO...sorry, but not sure this guy wants to get a mile and a quarter. (I know.. he's by AWESOME AGAIN)...he had every chance to go by some really weak animals and did not.

I'm a thoro guy, a watch the races guy, a pace analysis (not pace figures) guy when it comes to this game.

The Santa Anita Derby came up weak versus the other route races on the card. Can't remember the specifics, but this appeared to be an ordinary race both from a pace perspective and visually. Besides, I agree with CH that there is good reason to completely avoid whatever comes out of California.

When it comes to the Derby, I also incorporate the dosage. I do not mean the 4.00/1.25 crap. I'm talking about the dominant classisity dosage distribution where the 3rd of the 5 numbers across exceeds the total of all the other 4 numbers.

The only one possessing that right now is HIGH FLY. His pull-up after the Florida Derby indicated he can carry that speed even further.



Good Luck,
Joe B.