I think you're trying to goad me into a controversy...lol

I don't know with certainty. In all candor I don't think Bellamy ran quite as fast as TGraph currently has him factored. But TGraph isnt the only one, Beyer and Sheets have him fast too.

I did see a traditional variant breakdown by BRIS and they had Survivalist off 6 lengths in the Wood from his prior. If Bris is right it will be rare time they catch a call over TGraph.

My deduction is the Wood collapsed and projection isn't feasible. A variant can't be accurately calculated on the two turn races either in my estimation. (As BRIS almost certainly attempted) If Bellamy ran Zed/Zed hes still dangerous. If he ran Zed/-5 hes the fastest 3 year old ever, but he could bounce.

Its a marvelous Derby. A handicapping extravaganza.