big18741 wrote:

> Chuck
>
> The only horses that didn't fire that might be going on to
> Baltimore are:
>
> Noble Causeway-I think he has some potential,but in his 3 two
> turn races at GP he came home really crawling.He could be good
> down the road.

Thought NC was in trouble with High Fly in Fla. Derby and left him out, but for 4th. He collided with High Limit early and was down inside. The inside on that track was not a good place.

>
> Sun King-He has one good race on his page-a one turn mile.

I agree wholeheartedly with the one good race insight. I've bet against him twice now and hes been no worry. Caveat, he was down inside, but still believe Zito has misidentified his "Captain".
>
> Bellamy Road-His Wood was superb-his Derby wasn't.His Breeders
> Futurity was a bad looking race also.A few I've talked to look
> for the Point Given bounce back in Baltimore.I think he could
> be more along the lines of a Midway Road type.The one
> incredible race mixed in with a bunch of common races.I can't
> get carried away with his one turner at Gp.I'm not seeing
> George holding up a trophy next weekend.

Really appreciated that 2001 race analogy an your view the Wood was a one time freak pop. Personally, I think he can be very good, IF he has it his own way. Theres a lot like that, Spend a Buck included. Though Bellamani aint near that quick.


> I think High Fly ran his race.Same race that he ran in the Fla
> Derby-fast early slow late despite winning that one.He wore
> down BB Best and held of a slow closing NC.

agreed


Scrappy T spanked BB
> in the Withers.I think High Fly is phony at any distance past a
> mile.The first 3 were swimming in the stretch of the FLA Derby.

Not sure BB was at his best Withers Day. Quite sure of it actually, he departed from his pace niche. Tend to agree High Fly doesnt want Classic distance unless he can get a favorably slow early part in the race.

>
> Alex ran his race-he needs a vacation now before they wreck
> him.

don't know what to make of Alex for the preakness yet. Beyer says he ran a 98 I suppose. He ran straight as a string down the stretch, but his stride wasn't near as powerful as Ark day. The bounce and track were factors.

> Wilko another excuse-always the heel now a bleeder.Where is his
> good race ever?

Wilko may not want classic distance. His big race was 8.5 marks and he still hasn't bettered it.


> The 1-2 horses from the Derby ran their races which won't come
> back anything special.

Tend to agree, little less certain with CA. Assuming he ran on the best part of the track he overcame a hot pace. He was bearing out noticibly at the end. Out into the Swain path.


> I question Scrappy at the distance,but he's fresh and
> improving.If Alex or Bellamy throw good ones he's in
> trouble.Nothing else in that field is much.

Tend to agree but for CA, not a bad horse.

He'll be a fat
> price.Giacomo was 50-1 now he'll be single digits.CA was 71-1
> he might be 12-1.Do you want either of them at those prices?

CA is gonna be less than 12-1. hes gonna be 6/8-1