Summerly an overlay at 8-5? Based on what? She isn't as fast as either Smuggler or Spun Sugar on T-Graph figures or on Beyers for that matter. She is a Grade 1 winner and beat the fastest 3 year old this year handily (Sis City), but I have to believe that the detention barns at Churchill had something to do with that.

The edge Summerly has is a "pace" one. Bailey has the quickest horse and the outside post, giving him a tactical advantage. He could give the horse a similar ride to the one he gave Oratory in the Peter Pan.

By the way, if you think 8-5 is an overlay, this race will probably be bettable for you. Based on what I have seen in the "matchups" offshore, Smuggler will be the favorite, followed closely by Spun Sugar, leaving Summerly the 3rd choice. Summerly is only 9-5 to finish in front of Seeking the Ante.

You might get 5-2.