Re: Lotta Meat On Them Bones -- Indulto (579 Views)
Posted by:
TGJB (IP Logged)
Date: August 04, 2005 06:16PM
CH-- you don't necessarily need to know about the track work, you do need to not make the assumption that nothing was done if you don't know.
This is a good time for everyone to take a look at the Expo presentation, even if you have done so before. You will see why you have to be careful of adding to increase sample size-- it's only a good idea if it's apples and apples.
http://www.thorograph.com/archive/files/multimedia/Vegas2004/Vegas2004lo.ram
By the way, one of the points that some people don't understand is that unlike the early figure makers who used pars (and therefore only the winners), those using the projection method use all the horses in a race, and therefore are increasing the sample size from just one.
We get as much information about track maintenance as we can-- almost certainly a lot more than Ragozin (like, when they water the track, aside from sealing/harrowing etc). But I still make as few assumptions about cause and effect as possible-- it's all just informational grist for the figure making mill.
Edited 3 time(s). Last edit at 08/04/2005 10:35PM by TGJB.