Re: TGJB-Barbaro in deep stretch (690 Views)
Posted by:
marcus (IP Logged)
Date: April 03, 2006 11:53PM
I'm just not in love with it . It is difficult to separate 2 yo from 3 yo numbers , pattern and seasons . The 5 career races are part of his current and present campaign .
He did run a top to end his 2 yo year and get over a mile and around 2 turns as a 2 yo to his credit and the trainers credit but with just only 2 races and that's got to be pushing a horse along fast .
The 3 yo debut number in my view was an effort and I would liked to have seen a 2 or 3 pt bounce - a real bounce . Then the 3 and change on slop and w/ all the off track breeding , ran what many refer to as a pair was then his best number to date .
I'm guessing he ran a top saturday in the range of 1+ to 3 pts , so he established a level of performance with his 1st 5 races and assumedly has moved forward off of that , now he bounces next .
I hope Vito's right about this and also , he should be using TG numbers to get the very best view when taking patterns into consideration . I know Jerry is right about this stuff more than anyone around that I know of . Derby winner pattern profiles seem to be in a transitory phase these past several years ...
Incidently , talking about patterns and on an unrelated note , at HAW-8- tuesday I'm liking the number #3 horse Bewitching Miss to win , she's a little slow going in but off her pattern I like her chances to improve now at 8-1 .
Edited 3 time(s). Last edit at 04/04/2006 02:39PM by marcus.