bobphilo Wrote:
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> Tony,
>
> I analyzed the card in detail ad here’s the race
> by race break-down of the dirt races.
> 1st) The early leader faded to 3rd despite being
> the even-money favorite.

Don't forget that the top three went 1-2-3 around the track, but for positional changes and a 30-1 with speed was dead game for second beaten a length

>
> 2nd) Early leader faded to 9th. Horse running 2
> and 3 early finished 1 and 2, but they were the
> 2 favorites

Don't forget the 3rd place horse at 37-1 that was only two lengths off on the early calls and found a way to make the Tri Pay. But yes, the 1st and 2nd horses race pace races as well. The second place horse from outside and 3 wide.

>
> 3rd) Early leader faded to 10th. Winner closed
> from 5th to 3rd to 1st.

Lets not forget the second place pace horse at 25-1 beaten a mere length from the 12 hole.
>
> 4th) Winner went wire to wire but was odds-on
> favorite. 2nd and 3rd place finishers closed from
> 4th and 8th early though they were 8-1 and 19-1
> shots respectively.
>

To say the second place horse "Closed" is a monumental stretch. He was never further than a length and a fraction back. Did you do this analyis on lengths and posts and wide or simply change in positions?....lol

Notice you neglected the 5th 1-2-3 around the track. Granted the chalk checked in first and second. Solid Chalk it was.

I"m sorry but i'm bored with this endeavor, other than to say theres a lot more to figuring a track than looking at positional changes, but this one is easy. Gulfstream is a speed track. It was a speed track before "renovation" and its a wackier speed track now. It favored horses on the front end last year. High Limit, Bellamy Road and others. Its favoring horses on the front again this year, including Vinnie Barbarino. But this was high school. Its college time and if you think Barbarino has the stuff to graduate, step on up to the window and don't be shy.