The Truth about SNS (1347 Views)
Posted by:
scottv (IP Logged)
Date: May 01, 2006 11:26AM
SNS will probably be the second favorite at the Derby. Every handicapper has him as his "intriguing horse". ESPN, TVG, thorograph, not sure about DRF handicappers just yet.
The truth about SNS is that he is a gelding and he has not shown the ability to rate off of a fast blistering pace and win.
Don't get me wrong, I see good things about this horse on the sheets, but there is a chink in his armor and he is beatable, especially if he draws poorly.
I think it makes more sense to concentrate on the longshots that are very likely to run in the money.
Look at the superfecta payout in 2004, Smarty, Lion tamer (the top two favorites, with a 10-1 IMPERIAlism and a 40-1 (Pletcher's Limehouse). Payout for $1 is 41,000, the tri only paid $900 and change.
There is value in the longshots.