Re: Early Preakness Thoughts..... (894 Views)
Posted by:
Wrongly (IP Logged)
Date: May 11, 2006 10:59AM
I tend to believe that Barbaro moved forward 1 or 2 points from his Florida Derby effort, and maybe Bluegrass Cat paired or moved forward 1 point off his Tampa Bay Derby effort. Too many horses encountered trouble in this large field and the wall of horses on the turn made for some very wide moves. Also looking at the charts from Equibase, Bris, and DRF there appears to be some discrepancy, according to Equibase nearly 1/2 the field ran the final quarter faster than the previous quarter (the final turn).
As far as the Preakness; Bernardini, Brother Derek, and Sweetnorthernsaint would have to be 12/1 or more in my mind to take a shot against Barbaro.