Re: Early Preakness Thoughts..... -(Kasept?) (854 Views)
Posted by:
jimbo66 (IP Logged)
Date: May 11, 2006 12:37PM
Miff,
I guess you expect Barbaro to be 1-2 or lower, if you think 8-1 and 10-1 for BD and SNS. The field size will be 7 horses or so, not sure either BD or SNS will be that long. Unless you think Bernardini is going to be second choice in the 4-1 range?
The question is whether Barbaro can run anywhere close to his last. Of course, if he does, he wins. I guess he can bounce 2 points and win. But 3 year olds have not done well off the big jumpups the last few years. Not sure I want to take odds on that Barbaro will be the exception. Although, he certainly did look like an "exception" on Saturday....
Kasept,
You were following SNS very closely. What is this about the "not jogging well"? I never saw or heard anything about that. did you see that while you were down there?
Whoever dropped about 800k in the "last click" on Saturday, must not have realized it either. That drop from 7-1 to 5-1 in the last minute or so is pretty significant, with the amount of money in the pool. Kind of reminded me of a couple of others. Lion Heart went from 8-1 to 5-1 in the Derby in the last 2 minutes before post. Funny Cide went from 16-1 to 12-1 in the last few minutes. T