Re: Is it just me (553 Views)
Posted by:
TGJB (IP Logged)
Date: July 19, 2006 05:50PM
Tony--
1-- The scoring is simply, he who has the winner ranked higher gets a point.
2-- We're not measuring chance of bouncing, we're measuring overall speed, as measured by chance of winning (which is of course is to some degree a function of bouncing, or more precisely, consistency. But a horse with 2 good ones out of three will score higher than one with only one).
3-- The study that Friedman was trumpeting was based on best last figure and best SINGLE figure of last three races. That's obviously ridiculous, for all the reasons mentioned times ten. One that goes too far back can bring in races that don't have anything to do with a horse's development or current form. We tried to reach a happy medium.
And again, I think there will be more correlation between these ratings and results of races than any other simple mechanical system that can be devised.
Edited 1 time(s). Last edit at 07/19/2006 05:54PM by TGJB.