dpatent Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> I looked at the numbers for the Top 10 finishers.
> The differences are generally in the 5 to 6 point
> range with a few exceptions.
>
> Imawildandcrazyguy -- 4.25 points faster for TG
> Hard Spun -- 4.75 points faster
> Sam P -- 7.25 points faster
> Nobiz -- 6.25 points faster
>
> This means that TG had the race 1.5 to 2.5 points
> faster than Ragozin.
>
> If you believe TG then SS ran back to his 2 y.o.
> top -- strong pattern and still faster than
> anything that will be running in the Preakness
>
> If you believe Ragozin, SS is a little
> disappointing in that he has not yet run back to
> his 2 y.o. top but still a nice line with little
> chance of bouncing in the Preakness.
>
> Hard Spun is a bounce candidate on both with his
> Ragozin line looking a little better.
>
> Curlin looks stronger on his TG line than on
> Ragozin.


Curlin looks better on Ragozin, imo. He has the Brother Derek TG sheet - just too many fast efforts in a row to be able to bounce back on two weeks. the Ragozin t '6' would give me more confidence in a decent Preakness run (more, not a lot). I liked SNS a lot more than BD last year off his slow 't' Derby race.