Jerry,

It does indeed look like 1) someone got the number "wrong" and 2) beaten lengths and/or wide paths or some 'x' factor caused the numbers for a handful of other horses to be off.

I'm not sure about the read on Hard Spun. Since he only had three 2 y.o. races and never really regressed, I don't think you can say that he had a "top". At some point he's going to hit the end of the line but I'd be more willing to play him of the Ragozin line than yours.

That said I am sticking with my initial view that the Preakness is unplayable. Good luck to those searching for a way to find value.