Reasons (Scientific Method) (805 Views)
Posted by:
richiebee (IP Logged)
Date: September 19, 2007 03:09PM
Please use this thread to give any insight you might have as to why TAP's barn,
which was visiting the winner's circle at about a 25% rate for quite a while,
has a strike rate below 10% for the last six weeks. Since the "White Mercedes"
line of reasoning has been exhausted, I would like to LIMIT THIS THREAD TO
SUPPLYING REASONS FOR THIS SLUMP WHICH DO NOT CONCERN
PERFORMANCE ENHANCEMENT.
IF you have facts, come forward. I guess rumors are acceptable because they
have been known to morph into facts. Humor is OK, too, as in:
1) All of TAP's top stable help left the racetrack and enrolled in NYU and
Columbia this Fall (OK, an INS raid is more likely).
2) TAP's hay and grain vendor left the horse feed business and opened a health
food restaurant in Brooklyn Heights; TAP hasn't been able to find feed which
his animals are happy with since then.
3) TAP's owners buy stock which is expected to win graded races; there are very
few or no graded races run at 5-1/2 furlongs, which seemed to be the distance
at which most races at Saratoga were run this year.
4) TAP is a big Met fan and is absolutely distracted by the Great Flushing
"Metdown" of 2007.
I'm really looking for serious responses which DO NOT INCLUDE the White
Mercedes. Statistics experts are welcome to chime in. And if anyone can
document a similar TAP slump any time during his career, that would be most
helpful.