You are right about one thing...they are testing in NJ and TAP will race on even terms in the BC. According to you the great barn he put together should give him a real advantage, right?

Prediction: he will do about as well as he has in the Derby.

Forgive me, but your posts on the subject change direction so often I can't follow your reasoning.

You are misleading readers about Mullins...maybe he's a bit above 10% right now, but forget that and explain his drop from 30+% to the lower range (hint: it occured right after they established the new epo testing facility in SoCal.)