Hello boys:
Best thing about this race is that fav. is very beatable. I like 4 horses, Mr. John, W. Castle, Saint Verre and Blue Burner. I really don't like Puzzlement at all. Mr John has a good line but he is too ouchy but he will probably be 15-1 and has rail and there is an outside shot that he is well. I think you definitely have to play him. W. Castle also is very fast but I would have like the last race to be a -1 instead of - 1/2 but with 6 wks, he can definitely repeat. Saint Verre is the horse I like the best. This horse started his career with a 5 then took 1 yr to break his top , then took another year to break that top. HOwever, last 4 races have been awesome, I am more inclined to throw out the 11 because of short rest. Now he again has 6 wks into this race and should run between a 0 to -1.5. His odds will be high and I like the fact that he successfully changed his running in his last. Blue Burner has nothing wrong with his line and is the most likely horse to run a new top but with ground loss and a 2 pt move he could be out of luck. Puzzlement, I don't like because the last race should have been a 3 or better, he has a bad post. He is young but would have to be 40-1 before I consider using him under my top 4 in a $1 ticket.