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Re: Laurel 2/22 (749 Views)
Posted by: The Kid (IP Logged)
Date: February 27, 2003 08:38PM

As an infrequent player -- whose home track in Laurel -- who once had good basic handicapping skills but has become dependent on speed figures, I am especially attuned to the TG v. Rags debate down here.

I was not there on Saturday, which I can attest was a crappy, crappy day down here weatherwise. I actually had a track day on Thursday, when, unfortunately, it was all faves.

Anyway, while I'm very much interested in how the debate regarding the two stakes turns out, the element I'm interested in is the following: How would you do the figures if weather cancelations had not placed the two stakes back to back? Let's say the feature were followed by a group of typically unpredictable group of $8,500 NW2L or cheap maiden claimers. Or put two groups of equally difficult to predict groups of crappy Lrl horses back to back on a comparably shifting track.

My guess is that relatively large variances between groups of crappier horses are relatively common. As someone who has to bet on crappy horses, I worry that it is sometimes very difficult to do figures on these animals with much accuracy at all. This is important when trying to determine O2X patterns, explosive horses and particularly when a group of several horses coming out of the same race with shaky figures based on that race are running against others who may or may not emerge from easy or difficult-to-predict races.

Anyway, as someone who very much appreciates TGJB's ability to crush Derby's and Breeders' Cup days, I'd love to hear why you're better that Rags on the average days.

After all, you did start this string.




Subject Written By Posted
Laurel 2/22 (1291 Views) TGJB 02/27/2003 05:52PM
Re: Laurel 2/22 (751 Views) Michael D. 02/27/2003 06:21PM
Re: Laurel 2/22 (723 Views) TGJB 02/27/2003 06:29PM
Re: Laurel 2/22 (749 Views) The Kid 02/27/2003 08:38PM
Re: Laurel 2/22 (783 Views) TGJB 02/28/2003 01:08PM
Re: Laurel 2/22 (789 Views) Alydar in California 02/28/2003 08:24AM
Re: Laurel 2/22 (812 Views) mholbert 02/28/2003 10:01AM
Re: Laurel 2/22 (753 Views) Silver Charm 02/28/2003 11:32AM
Re: Laurel 2/22 (783 Views) TGJB 02/28/2003 01:20PM
Re: Laurel 2/22 (793 Views) Alydar in California 02/28/2003 02:12PM
Re: Laurel 2/22 (787 Views) TGJB 02/28/2003 03:12PM
Re: Laurel 2/22 (830 Views) Alydar in California 02/28/2003 03:36PM
Re: Laurel 2/22 (758 Views) Alydar in California 02/28/2003 03:49PM
Re: Laurel 2/22 (934 Views) TGJB 02/28/2003 04:29PM
Re: Laurel 2/22 (763 Views) Silver Charm 03/03/2003 06:44PM
Friedman Admits-Avoid Comparisons (781 Views) Silver Charm 03/03/2003 06:56PM
Re: Laurel 2/22 (787 Views) mholbert 03/04/2003 10:52AM
Re: Laurel 2/22 (790 Views) TGJB 03/04/2003 02:49PM
Re: Laurel 2/22 (794 Views) mholbert 03/04/2003 03:20PM
fatigue model (804 Views) derby1592 03/05/2003 01:22AM
Re: fatigue model (835 Views) mholbert 03/06/2003 09:55AM
Re: fatigue model (817 Views) derby1592 03/06/2003 10:44PM


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