Re: Ugly and Uglier in this year's Derby... (699 Views)
Posted by:
RICH (IP Logged)
Date: April 25, 2003 08:25AM
Chris, you have it exactly right, my opinion for what it's worth.
Brancusi: 2 consectutive 3pt moves, yes, some concern with the 7pts of development from his 2yr top. However, at 20-1 I'm betting there is a small move left. The line looks good hasn't gone back since the 2 race blinker try. With seven horses that have the number to win, the odds will dictate my position.
Offlee wild: If you can put your finger over the last number the line looks good. Can you find an excuse for the last? He was sick, needed the race. What I really like is he has won at CD. I like the fact that off the 2yr old top last year he went back just a little and rebounded with a 4 pt move then another small move. AT 30-1 I am excusing the last and hoping for the small move off the 2! top.
Eye of the Tiger: Yes maybe a stretch, but at 50-1, I see a foward moving, albeit, slower line. With an inside position and only 2pts of development since 2yr old(sire shows 6) there is room for the jump-up. Hollendorfer can't hurt.
I am looking at keying Brancusi/offlee wild.