Chris ,

I enjoy your analysis and you make some very good points.

Since Funny Cide was one of those horses who ran "too fast" at two, and broke the jinx, I am curious as to how you might approach next year's (and subsequent Derbies)?

I saw a very weak field this year with no dual qualifiers (dosage - exp. hcp). Now, people have beeen saying for a few years that this theory and the stats surrounding it are no longer applicable. Some say they never were. Yet one could still have tossed Peace Rules as a non qualifier on dosage, despite his figs which I, for one, was afraid of and so included (though weakly) on my tickets.

Fact remains that the percentage of winners who did qualify on dosage is much higher than those who did not, which brings me back to my original question. Was this year a fluke regarding FC's running too fast at 2 or is there a new trend on the horizon?