Re: Estimating Final Odds (896 Views)
Posted by:
SoCalMan2 (IP Logged)
Date: December 17, 2015 04:06PM
joekay Wrote:
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> Don't know if this is apropos or not, but in the
> 2012 KD I hit the SFA for $1. It paid $48K+. IHA
> was I think 19-1, Bode ( fave ) 3-1?) Dullahan
> (single digit, I think) and Went the Day Well I
> think was something like 25-1. While waiting for
> the photo, my friends were telling me it would
> probably pay somewhere around 30K-40K for $2.
> When it came back at 96+K for $2, I was happily
> surprised of course. I'm not sure I've remembered
> the odds correctly, but that certainly makes up
> for a lot of ones that comeback lighter than
> expected. By the way, after betting Win and
> Exacta's on the race, I had $12 left on my
> voucher, and played IFA and Bode over the other 2,
> for a 2/4/4/4 ticket. I learned a lesson that
> day:when you have a strong opinion, don't be
> timid.
Unless very favorite laden (like this year), superfecta in Derby always pays well because you have 20 betting interests. That exponentially increases the possible combinations which means the betting pool is stretched over a way larger amount of possible bets than any other race you can bet in America.