tend to concur with johnnym on the Donn.

My read on Valid:

Valid has run 8 numbers at negative 2 or better including his last.
3 year old----negative 2 then a 1
4 year old ---negative 2 then multi month layoff
negative 4 (lifetime top) then a 4
negative 2 the 1 1/2
negative 2 then 1 1/2
negative 3 then 0
negative 3 then neg 1
negative 2 then ???????????Today

The negative 2 in the last looks like a secondary top and I expect a reaction.
The 7 looks looks like a 'now' type horse. Lightly raced, in form with a reasonable chance to pair up the new top.

In the horizontals, think the 1, 3 and 5 merit consideration as well.

Now that I have put Valid in the winners circle for sure. :):) double your bet. lol

Bob