Derby 128 (2061 Views)
Posted by: kevin s
Date: April 29, 2002 05:52PM
Total throw out's:
These horses are just too slow for this years group. Even if they have nice lines.
LUSTY LATIN-OCEAN SOUND-WILD HORSES--IT'SALLINTHECHASE.
These horses are also throw out's but have the fast numbers maybe to win it.
MAYAKOVSKY--Even if he runs in here. He should have shown alot better last time out, but he bounce 3.2 points off that first race of the year and he also bore out, no way.
WINWARD PASSAGE--Another one who might not run, but if he does get in. The big jump this horse made two back looks to be the end of his line for a bit, and he doesnt scare me one bit.
PRIVATE EMBLEM--Broke threw the two year old top of the 7.2 two back (6.0) and then jump big time last race out. Little over two weeks rest is not enough for him to run it back.
CAME HOME--First night i got the TG numbers for the race he was the first horse i made my mind up on. To toss him out. Very bad looking line, enough said. Oh wait and maybe he will be under 8-1 which will make my ex's a little better.
PROUD CITIZEN--Everyone keeps talking about can Lukas do it again like in 99'derby????? NOPE at best i see this horse running is another 4.1
ESSENCE OF DUBAI--When will they ever learn to start bring their horses over here and running them a bit. Unless hes a superstar i dont see this horse moving 1 or 2 pts to be a factor in here.
JOHANNESBURG--This horse might be lower odds than ESSENCE, which is crazy. This horses top at two was a 6.1 at best he could run a 3.2 and might hang on for a little share.
WAR EMBLEM--I've got two words for this hoss........"BOUNCE CITY"
Now here are some horses i don't really know what to do with them so they will get a bigger play in my ex's than the upper horses.
BLUE BURNER--Fast in his last two races bounce a bit in his last which might throw up the red flag on him, but at a long price and ??? line i'm lost.
BUDDHA--Again another i'm lost on. I really don't like his line at all but he might be able to pair up the last number and make him minor share hoss in here.
HARLAN'S HOLIDAY--The fav. in this race. Which might be 4-1. Great pattern at two and at 3yr he move forward in his 3rd start of the year running the 0.2, bounced 2pts last race. What to do??? For me i'm playing him lightly in my ex's thats it. Hard read for me.
Now my hard hitters. These horses will get big money in my ex's
MEDAGLIA D'ORO--Lightly race horse, and the only real number i can see for him running is another 2.2 thats it. Nice line also.
REQUEST FOR PAROLE--Nice overall line. The only knock on him is i thik all them 2.2's is too fast too soon for him. Then again at 30-1 a must play in my ex's.
EASY GRADES--Another lightly race horse. pairs up the 3.1's and at best he could run another 3.1, but your also getting over 25-1 on him.
PERFECT DRIFT--Hes my second choice in here i will have a few bucks to win on him. Solid moving line, not many big jumps, has the 5 weeks rest coming up to it. I see a 0.2 or a 3.0 out of him in here. At 15-1 and up hes a must use for the top 3.
My top hoss:
SAALAND--Nice moving 2yr line. Jump 4.1 pts. some might say thats a big jump. He had 3 1/2 months off to do that in also. Pair's up his last two numbers. Most might see another 3.1 coming, not at all i see a 0.3 coming into the race sat. Why?? UNBRIDLED horses move 3.3 pts from two to three hes already went past that. So hes moving on to the next jump they make that being 3pts. Other than that hes just the type of horse i've seen over the years on TG numbers, SAARLAND will be there.